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Joint AAI/APN Poll: Jewish and Arab Americans Overwhelmingly Support Two-State Solution, U.S. Engagement; Bush Gets Low Marks

The Arab American Institute (AAI) and Americans for Peace Now (APN) today released the results of their joint survey of Arab Americans and Jewish Americans gauging support within both communities for Arab-Israeli peace.

See coverage of the Poll in newspapers and blogs...

WASHINGTON - The Arab American Institute (AAI) and Americans for Peace Now (APN) today released the results of their joint survey of Arab Americans and Jewish Americans gauging support within both communities for Arab-Israeli peace. The results come on the cusp of the 40th anniversary of the 1967 Arab-Israeli war and resulting occupation. Full results are available at HERE.

The poll, conducted by Zogby International, revisits questions asked of both communities in a similar 2002 AAI/APN poll and a subsequent 2003 poll.

The new survey polled 501 Jewish Americans from May 22-23, 2007, and 501 Arab Americans from May 22-26, 2007. The margin of error for both samples is +/- 4.5%.

Results confirm that strong majorities in both the Jewish and Arab American communities remain committed to the right of both Israelis and Palestinians to live in secure and independent states (Table 1); support a negotiated settlement to final status issues, such as Jerusalem, refugees, and borders (Table 2); and consider a resolution to the conflict in the U.S. national interest (Table 3).

"This survey, yet again, reaffirms our assertion that most American Jews support a diplomatic approach to resolving conflicts in the Middle East - whether conflicts between Israel and its neighbors or the conflict between the U.S. and Iran" said Debra DeLee, President of Americans for Peace Now. "Not only do members of both communities support negotiated peace between Israel and its neighbors, they also want to see the Bush administration play a greater role to make it happen."

"Despite heightened tensions and the devastation of continued conflicts in the region, solid majorities of Arab Americans and Jewish Americans are united in their desire an end to the occupation and settlements, and for peace through a two-state solution," added James Zogby, President of the Arab American Institute. "Both communities believe that U.S. policies have been ineffective and are looking to the 2008 presidential candidates to make engagement in the Middle East a priority in their campaigns and in the White House."

The poll reveals that Arab and Jewish Americans share not only a commitment to peace, but also a common vision of what constitutes positive U.S. engagement in the Middle East. The full results of the 2007 AAI/APN poll, which include questions on U.S. policy towards Iran, Israel-Syria negotiations, the Arab League Peace Initiative, and settlements, are available HERE.

Two-thirds of Jewish Americans (68%) and Arab Americans (64%) also indicated they would be more likely to support a presidential candidate who took an active role in the Israel-Palestinian peace process (Table 4).

Meanwhile, respondents largely rated President Bush's handling of the Arab/Israeli conflict in the Middle East as ineffective: 80% of Jewish Americans, 77% of Arab Americans (Table 5).

Respondents also expressed strong support (73% of Jewish Americans and 79% of Arab Americans) for serious U.S. diplomatic engagement with Iran rather than preparing for military action (Table 6).

Table 1: Israeli/Palestinian Right to Secure and Independent State

Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree, or strongly disagree that [Israelis/ Palestinians] have a right to live in a secure and independent state of their own?

Israeli Right to Secure and Independent State

Jewish American

Arab American

2007

2003

2002

2007

2003

2002

Agree

98

96

97

88

95

95

Disagree

2

2

1

10

2

4

Not Sure

<1

<1

2

6

5

1

Palestinian Right to Secure and Independent State

Jewish American

Arab American

2007

2003

2002

2007

2003

2002

Agree

90

82

86

96

93

96

Disagree

9

15

8

3

3

2

Not Sure

1

3

6

1

5

2

Almost all Jewish Americans (98%) and Arab Americans (88%) believe that Israelis have a right to live in a secure and independent state of their own. These numbers are largely unchanged from the 2002 and 2003 surveys. Almost all Jewish Americans (90%) and Arab Americans (96%) believe that Palestinians have a right to live in a secure and independent state of their own. These numbers are also largely unchanged from the 2002 and 2003 surveys.

Table 2: Support for Negotiated Two-State Solution

Would you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose a negotiated peace agreement between Israelis and Palestinians that included the establishment of an independent, secure Palestinian state alongside an independent, secure Israeli state, and resolved final status issues of Jerusalem, refugees, and borders?

Jewish American

Arab American

Strongly Support

72

87

Somewhat Support

15

7

Support

87

94

Somewhat Oppose

2

1

Strongly Oppose

5

2

Oppose

7

3

Not Sure

6

2


Support for a negotiated two-state solution which resolves final status issues of Jerusalem, refugees, and borders is strong in both communities with 87% of Jewish Americans and 94% of Arab Americans pledging support.

Table 3: Importance of Peace to U.S. Strategic Interests

Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree, or strongly disagree that trying to achieve peace, security, and dignity for Israelis and Palestinians is important to U.S. strategic interests?

Jewish American

Arab American

Strongly Agree

87

81

Somewhat Agree

9

10

Agree

96

91

Somewhat Disagree

1

3

Strongly Disagree

2

3

Disagree

3

6

Not Sure

1

3

Nearly all Jewish and Arab Americans agree that trying to achieve peace, security and dignity for Israelis and Palestinians is important to U.S. strategic interests.

Table 4: Support for Candidates who Promise Engagement in Peace Process

If a Presidential candidate promised to take an active role in the peace process between Israel and the Palestinians, would you be more likely or less likely to vote for that candidate in November 2008, or would it make no difference in your vote?

Jewish American

Arab American

More Likely

68

64

Less Likely

3

3

No Difference

25

28

Not Sure

5

5

Two thirds of Jewish Americans and Arab Americans would be more likely to support a presidential candidate who took an active role in the Israeli-Palestinian peace process.

Table 5: Performance of President Bush in Handling the Arab-Israeli Conflict

Generally speaking, how would you rate President George W. Bush's handling of the Arab/Israeli conflict in the Middle East?

Jewish American

Arab American

Very Effective

4

6

Somewhat Effective

16

15

Effective

20

21

Not Very Effective

27

21

Not At All effective

53

56

Not Effective

80

77

Not Sure

1

3

Four-fifths of Jewish Americans and Arab Americans believe that President Bush's handling of the Arab-Israeli conflict is not effective. Majorities in both groups believe his performance to be not at all effective.

Table 6: U.S. Policy toward Iran

Which of the following two statements best reflects your view regarding U.S. policy towards Iran?

Statement A: Diplomacy with Iran is a waste of time and the US needs to prepare now for military action.
Statement B: It is vital that the US engage in serious diplomacy with Iran and the international community, which could prevent another war.

Jewish American

Arab American

Statement A

21

16

Statement B

73

79

Neither

4

3

Not Sure

2

2


Approximately three in four Jewish Americans and Arab Americans think that the U.S. should engage diplomatically with Iran.


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