Last week I
raised concerns about Dennis
Ross's new 14-point peace plan, which would gut the very notion of the two-state solution. Ross's approach is
the most prominent manifestation of a growing trend toward the acceptance of a seductive new logic that has emerged
in the context of the current Israeli-Palestinian deadlock. According to this line of thought, breaking the
deadlock requires an approach that falls comfortably within Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's
pro-"Greater Israel" political comfort zone, but that can somehow still be marketed as "pro-peace."
A common element in all such approaches is the call to end 45 years of international consensus opposing the Israel
settlement enterprise in the West Bank and East Jerusalem, legitimizing most existing settlement construction and
green-lighting most new construction. The dangerous appeal of this trend is driven home by the
latest offering from peace pioneer Yossi Beilin. Beilin's commitment to Israeli-Palestinian peace is
unchallengeable, and, yet, his article raises the same red flags as Ross's proposal.
Ross's plan, it should be recalled, hinges on his argument that Israel should be permitted to expand settlements
without restraint within the route of Israel's West Bank separation barrier. In effect, he is arguing in favor of
the de facto Israeli annexation of around 10 percent of the West Bank, rendering impossible the emergence of a
viable, maximally contiguous Palestinian state with a capital in East Jerusalem, and taking off the table the
possibility of one-to-one land swaps. This, he suggests, will somehow strengthen the credibility of the two-state
solution.
Beilin, for his part, offers ten "considerations," centered on his suggestion that it is time to forget about
achieving a peace agreement and focus on implementation of the 2003 Roadmap for Middle East Peace. Specifically,
Beilin believes that implementation of Phase 2 of the Roadmap would enable the parties to leapfrog negotiating
disagreements--like the fundamental disagreement over parameters of a future peace agreement, including whether the
1967 lines will be the basis of permanent status borders--and permit the establishment of a Palestinian state
within provisional borders.
With respect to what his plan would mean in concrete terms--facts on the ground--the single detail Beilin offers
bolsters the impression that his approach and Ross' are cut from the same cloth. Beilin suggests, simultaneously
and contradictorily, that Phase 2 of the Roadmap is the way forward, but also that the key Phase 1 Roadmap
requirement of Israel, stopping all settlement expansion, including so-called "natural growth," must be jettisoned.
Beilin pronounces this requirement an "unrealistic demand," thus endorsing a fundamental deviation from the
Roadmap--a plan which was conceived of and accepted by the parties as a phased approach, wherein each phase is
dependent on full implementation of the previous one. In doing so, Beilin casually erases what is both one of the
most important Roadmap deliverables for the Palestinians and what is the Roadmap requirement most vital to keeping
alive the very possibility of the two-state solution during any interim phase.
With this argument, Beilin appears to have acceded to the same logic that drives Ross and others: that the way
forward should be defined first and foremost by what Netanyahu will consider reasonable. Only secondarily, if at
all, is consideration given to what it is "reasonable" to demand from the Palestinians, or what is consistent with
previous agreements and international consensus, or, perhaps most problematically, what is compatible with keeping
alive the two-state solution.
Beilin's proposal regrettably will likely add momentum to the movement pushing for such an approach, regardless of
the threat this logic poses to the very concept of the two-state solution. Those like Ross, who believe the
two-state solution is immortal and infinitely malleable, will of course dismiss such concerns as immaterial. For
those like Beilin, who genuinely support a viable, implementable, and durable two-state solution, the trend toward
adopting such logic may reflect a belief that such a shift is necessary to maintain credibility in the eyes of
those who are increasingly frustrated and fatigued with this conflict.
The kind of simplistic proposals offered by Ross and others may indeed increase the feeling that peace proponents
are under the gun, figuratively, to come up with their own alternative, more "realistic" approach around which to
rally. In this context, there will be an understandable temptation to conclude that getting the Netanyahu
government to agree to something--anything--is better than nothing, regardless of the longer-term ramifications on
the viability of the two-state solution. It is a temptation that is as dangerous as it is alluring. In the current
stalemate, an interim approach may indeed make sense, but only one that addresses the very real need to get
developments on the ground that threaten the two-state solution under control. Absent this element, an interim
approach is a recipe for the end of the Palestinian Authority and the death of the two-state solution. If President
Obama and others are seduced by such an approach--something that is more likely if the prophets of the pro-peace
Left and people like Dennis Ross appear to be on the same page--then it seems there is an ever-greater danger that
the road to the death of the two-state solution will, in the near term, be paved with good intentions and lined on
both sides with new settlement units.
This article appeared first on March 14, 2013 at The Daily
Beast.